Sunday, June 26, 2011

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The Math of TechCrunch, Part 2: Does It Play Favorites? Top
Editor’s note :  Previously, in “The Math of TechCrunch, Part I: Is TechCrunch Still About Startups?”  guest author  Mark Goldenson  analyzed more than 20,000 TechCrunch to find out how much we actually cover startups versus big companies.  In this post, he drills down by investors, authors, and market segments.   Goldenson is CEO of Breakthrough.com , a startup that helps people find a therapist and get online counseling. His email is mark@breakthrough.com . In my last post, we learned that TechCrunch now covers ten times more startups than in its first year, but over half its coverage is now on large companies.  In this post, I look at how the coverage breaks down by investors, authors, and markets. These findings are based on the CrunchBase API and TechCrunch's 23,547 stories on 6,308 companies from June 11 th , 2005 to May 11 th , 2011.  Here is what I found. 1.   Companies funded by a prominent investors get covered twice as much Investors often pitch that their value is more than money. Among the 2,596 covered companies with investor data in CrunchBase, there is support for this: Rank Investor Startups Covered 1 Y Combinator 121 2 Sequoia Capital 103 3 Accel Partners 102 4 First Round Capital 93 5 Draper Fisher Jurvetson 87 6 Ron Conway 80 7 Benchmark Capital 70 8 Intel capital 70 9 Kleiner Perkins 70 10 Index Ventures 70 11 New Enterprise Associates 62 12 Charles River Ventures 57 13 Bessemer Venture Partners 55 14 DAG Ventures 54 15 Founders Fund 52 16 Greylock 51 17 Redpoint Ventures 51 18 True Ventures 50 19 500 startups 50 20 SV Angel 49   Companies backed by these top 20 investors get an average of 2.3 more stories than companies backed by other investors. Though Y Combinator benefits from making more investments than most firms, its halo effect is especially strong: YC has 20% more companies covered than Sequoia. Yet, the amount of money raised does not increase coverage: Top 10 Most Covered Top 10 Most Funded Company Total raised Stories Company Total raised Stories Google  $25,100,000 3069 Clearwire  $5,620,000,000 5 Facebook  $2,335,700,000 1961 Facebook  $2,335,700,000 1961 Twitter  $360,166,000 1675 DeNA  $2,208,000,000 15 Apple 1656 Solyndra  $1,643,200,000 1 Microsoft 1007 Terra-Gen Power  $1,200,000,000 1 Yahoo 912 Groupon  $1,137,000,000 172 Android 563 Sirius  $1,055,750,000 4 MySpace 494 Fisker  $1,018,000,000 1 YouTube  $11,500,000 448 AOL  $1,003,000,000 327 Only one of the most covered companies – Facebook – is also one of the most funded. When all covered companies are graphed against their funding, the R-squared value that measures the correlation between coverage and funding is only 0.04 out of 1, indicating that the amount of funding does not strongly affect coverage. (Funding of Apple , Microsoft , and several other top companies was not readily available but reportedly less than a billion dollars. This does not include public financing from IPOs; because CrunchBase has hundreds of public companies that are rarely covered, the results would probably not be significantly different.) 2.     TechCrunch writers do play favorites Over its six years, TechCrunch has quintupled its number of writers. These are the most prolific writers over time (some no longer work at TechCrunch): Writer Stories Michael Arrington 4079 Erick Schonfeld 3076 Leena Rao 2705 MG Siegler 2649 Robin Wauters 2502 Jason Kincaid 2261 Duncan Riley 838 Alexia Tsotsis 827 Mark Hendrickson 479 Nick Gonzalez 344 TechCrunch readers sometimes complain that writers favor certain companies. Does the data support this? Somewhat. All TechCrunch writers publish the most stories about same ten or so large companies, with one story often covering multiple companies. Within these top companies, some writers do have favorites, and one data point stands out: two-thirds of MG Siegler's posts are about Google, Apple, and Twitter. MG covers Twitter twice as much and Apple three times as
 
Skype's Worthless Employee Stock Option Plan: Here's Why They Did It Top
Skype is being criticized for terminating employees immediately prior to the closing of the Microsoft acquisition, and people are assuming they’re doing this to keep the value of those employees stock options. Skype’s response boils down to saying that the employees were fired because they weren’t good employees, and that the value of the stock is negligible and didn’t affect the decision making process. Ok. But it gets worse. Employees aren’t even able to keep the vested portion of their stock options. The vast majority of stock options granted to startups have a vesting period, typically four years, with chunks of those options becoming vested during that four year (or whatever) period. If options are vested you can exercise them, pay for the stock and own that stock. At least that’s the way things have been done over the decades. Skype did things differently. With Skype stock options the company has the right to not only terminate unvested options, but also vested ones. And any vested options that you’ve exercised (meaning you paid cash for them) that were turned into actual shares could simply be bought back by the company at the price you paid, regardless of their current value. Here’s the relevant language in the stock option grant agreement. It refers to a Management Partnership agreement which isn’t public and it’s unclear if employees ever get to see it (my guess is not): If, in connection with the termination of a Participant’s Employment, the Ordinary Shares issued to such Participant pursuant to the exercise of the Option or issuable to such Participant pursuant to any portion of the Option that is then vested are to be repurchased, the Participant shall be required to exercise his or her vested Option and any Ordinary Shares issued in connection with such exercise shall be subject to the repurchase and other provisions in the Management Partnership agreement. And here’s the letter the employee received when he was terminated: CNN calls the language “intentionally incomprehensible.” Reuters agrees, adding that Skype is “evil.” Here’s What’s Going On This isn’t the first time I’ve seen a stock option plan like this. I actually worked for a company once that used the same mechanism. I dug up the clause from that agreement, which I kept because it was so audacious. Here’s the relevant clause – it says much the same as the Skype documents but in slightly more understandable language: Where, in the case of an Employee Participant, Executive Participant or a Consultant Participant, an Optionee's employment, term of office or consultant agreement is terminated for any reason, such Optionee shall immediately offer to sell to the Company all of the Common Shares owned by the Optionee which have been or may be issued to the Optionee upon the exercise of Options at a price equal to the Exercise Price of such Common Shares. Such offer will be irrevocable until the day that is 120 days from the Termination Date. The Company shall have the option (but not the obligation) to purchase such Common Shares. If the offer to sell Common Shares is accepted by the Company, the Company shall purchase such Common Shares for cash consideration. Until now that company I worked for long ago was the only example of this type of clawback provision that I’d ever heard of. The reason that company added that clause is that they didn’t want any outside shareholders, including ex-employees. If there was a liquidity event, fine, employees got the stock upside. But if they left or were fired before a liquidity event, they got nothing. There are only two real reasons for doing this. The first is that the company anticipates a long period of being privately held and doesn’t want to deal with outside shareholders. The second is that they don’t want to give away too much equity in stock options. Since they can take back the options of anyone who leaves, they can give equity more freely to employees coming on board. There’s a tradeoff, of course. If employees understand what they’re signing they will want a lot more compensation to work there – either a higher cash salary or a ton more options. Because they know the likelihood of payout is so small. If, for example, Facebook’s option plan was structured this way. all the early guys that left and founded companies like Quora and Asana would not have made any money at all (billions of dollars in value would have flowed back to Facebook). Multi-billionaire Sean Parker , who was president of Facebook for a time, wouldn’t be a multi-billionaire. Or any other kind of billionaire. The fact that Skype adopted this plan in the first place isn’t in itself “evil.” But they’ve done two things wrong from what I can tell. First it appears that employees had no idea what they were signing and they probably expected it would be a normal stock option type deal that everyone in Silicon Valley has done for decades. If Skype wasn’t crystal clear with them, and explained it in normal human language that they understood, then these employees were intentionally misled. Skype had an incentive to make things unclear, because employees would demand far more compensation if they had understood. The fact that employees are so surprised that this is happening suggests that they didn’t understand the agreement. This is what lawyers call fraud. The second thing Skype did wrong was not to waive this clause with the looming acquisition. The company can deny all day long that they fired these employees for cause, not to save a few dollars on stock options. But the appearance is the exact opposite. These employees should simply hire a lawyer to sue Skype. There’s a valid fraud claim based on what I’m seeing, and the “atmospherics” (how lawyers describe the legally irrelevant facts surrounding the story that can nonetheless influence a judge and jury) are terrible for Skype. Also, Skype has to wrap up this deal. My guess is they’d just settle immediately and pay out on the vested part of the stock options. Get Ready For More Of This I bet that dozens of lawyers, venture capitalists and CEOs, now that they’re aware of this, are thinking “Hmmm, not a bad idea. We should do that.” And as long as they are crystal clear in their communications with new employees that these stock options, which are already a long shot, are likely to be extra-worthless, they’re probably in the clear legally. Then it’s up to the employees to take a stand. Or not. CrunchBase Information Skype Information provided by CrunchBase
 

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