Donald Trump has a significant lead in the race to win over likely Iowa caucusgoers, according to the first CNN/ORC Poll in the state this cycle. Overall, Trump tops the field with 22%.
Neurosurgeon Ben Carson follows with 14%, bumping Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker down to third place with 9%. Walker had held the top spot in the most recent public polling in Iowa. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz follows at 8%, with businesswoman Carly Fiorina and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee at 7%. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush is tied at 5% with Sens. Rand Paul and Marco Rubio. The rest of the field stands at 3% or lower.
Two-thirds of Iowa Republicans who are likely to attend the caucus say they're still trying to decide whom to support.
Trump's advantages are not universal. He faces a large gender gap: While holding a 15-point lead over his nearest competitor among men (27% Trump to 12% Walker, Carson at 10%), he trails among women (20% back Carson, 15% Trump, and 11% support Fiorina).
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