Tuesday, July 28, 2009

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Kevin Grandia: Climate Crock of the Week: What's Up with Anthony Watts [take 2] Top
Okay, let's try this again. Peter Sinclair producer of the well-known "Climate Crock of the Week" video series, posted a video debunking weatherman Anthony Watts who runs a Climate Denier Den also known as his Watt's Up With That blog. The video was auto-scrubbed by YouTube after Watts claimed the video broke YouTube's copyright rules. The video has since been reviewed by a number of US copyright experts and (big surprise) there appears to be nothing that could be construed as anything but fair use.  This whole situation has raised the ire of even some of the more ardent commenters on DeSmogBlog (the site I manage) who normally disagree with pretty much everything we say on the site. One such commenter, Rick James wrote: "I have to admit it doesn't look good for the skeptic side when something gets scrubbed like this. Watts loses some stature here unless he can post something convincing about why he did it on his blog. Silence won't get it done." As I have asked on two posts here on Huffington Post and on DeSmog: tell me Mr. Watts, what part of this video is it that gives you the right to have it removed from the public discourse on climate change? You can email me at desmogblog [at] gmail [dot] com. Here's the video again, reposted on YouTube:
 
Jesse Jenkins: Joe Romm's Strategy to Lose the Clean Energy Race Top
By Jesse Jenkins & Teryn Norris On Monday, Joe Romm of Climate Progress publicly attacked us for publishing an op-ed in the San Francisco Chronicle -- called "Will America lose the clean energy race? " ( a longer version was posted here at HuffingtonPost .). In that piece, we urged Congress to fully fund President Obama's energy education initiative and scale up direct pubic investments in low-carbon energy to accelerate our transition to a clean energy economy. Romm asserted that our op-ed "attacks" President Obama and Democratic leaders, when in fact calls on Congress to support Obama's RE-ENERGYSE energy education program and urges greater public investment in clean energy to compete with Asian challengers. Yet Romm never mentioned the central focus of the op-ed -- RE-ENERGYSE and our efforts to rally support behind it, including a recent sign-on letter with over 100 organizations -- and instead criticized us for what he called "willfully misleading nonsense" about Asian countries' planned investments in clean energy. Romm proceeded to make several factually incorrect statements about Asia's plans for clean energy investment that contradict research in publicly accessible reports and analyses, including those by the Center for American Progress (CAP), which employs Romm. The Breakthrough Institute wrote a comprehensive fact check here to correct Romm's numerous misstatements and clarify the details of public investment plans in China, South Korea and Japan. Romm also criticized us for asserting that Congress must strengthen the Waxman-Markey bill with greater investments in clean energy to compete with Asian challengers and accelerate our transition to a clean energy economy. Why? Because Romm apparently believes the Waxman-Markey proposal -- which would invest only $10 billion per year in clean energy and energy efficiency -- is sufficient to win the clean energy race. It is not. "Waxman-Markey would complete America's transition to a clean energy economy, which started with the stimulus bill," reads the title of a prominently featured post on Romm's website, a claim he has repeated multiple times. "Waxman-Markey would generate more clean energy action than any piece of legislation passed by any country in the history of the world!" exclaimed Romm in another recent post as part of his consistent and ongoing cheer-leading for the legislation. Romm supports his assertion by arguing that Waxman-Markey would invest $14 billion per year in clean energy. This figure is in fact faulty. Romm relies on a House Energy and Commerce Committee summary of Waxman-Markey (rather than his own independent analysis), which relied in turn on EPA analysis in April of the early draft version of the bill . However, according to the EPA's more recent analysis of the actual bill, Waxman-Markey would invest only $8 to $10 billion per year between 2015-2020, as we explain in detail here and as we stated in our op ed . But regardless of whether the number is $10 or $14 billion annually, this pales in comparison to China's planned investment of $44 to $66 billion per year and is clearly insufficient to "complete America's transition to a clean energy economy." A group of 34 Nobel Laureates recently submitted a letter to President Obama urging $15 billion per year in Waxman-Markey for R&D alone , and the Brookings Institution calls for $20-30 billion per year in R&D. The Breakthrough Institute strongly advocates a minimum investment of $30 to $50 billion per year in low-carbon energy research, development, demonstration, and deployment, of which $15 billion should be for clean energy R&D, as recommended by President Obama and the nation's top scientists . China, South Korea and Japan are all redoubling (re-tripling or re-quadrupling may be more accurate) their efforts to spur domestic clean energy industries, building on their stimulus investments by launching major, sustained clean energy investment programs. In the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the United States allocated over $60 billion to be spent over two years building American clean energy industries - an excellent start. Yet the Waxman-Markey bill would slash that level of commitment to one-third that level. Romm is apparently content with letting U.S. investments in clean energy technologies and industries lapse. The Breakthrough Institute is not. Ironically, in the face of massive direct public investments in countries like China, South Korea and Japan, both the Breakthrough Institute and the real policy shop at the Center for American Progress believe the U.S. is falling behind in the clean energy race. A recent CAP brief noted that "competitors dominate green industries while America is left behind." CAP's Julian Wong and Andrew Light were some of the first analysts to highlight China's reported plan to invest $440 to $660 billion in clean energy over ten years. And in a report titled "We Must Seize the Energy Opportunity or Slip Further Behind," CAP analyst Ben Furnas argued that "when it comes to preparing our country to compete in the new energy economy ... we lag behind most of our competitors in the rest of the world." The Breakthrough Institute believes the gathering clean energy race demands a vigorous and sustained commitment to clean energy technology and industries and has called on Congress to strengthen U.S. climate legislation, boosting clean energy investments from its current level of $10 billion per year to at least $30-$50 billion per year. In contrast, Romm ardently supports weaker legislation that would invest just $10 billion per year in clean energy and energy efficiency, less than one quarter of China's planned investments. That may be acceptable to Joe Romm -- but it is no way to win the clean energy race. More on Climate Change
 
Guess The Mystery Couple Top
Here's a picture taken behind the scenes at a hit TV show. Can you name one or both of them? Hint: One of their haircuts is new. Put your guesses in the comments section.
 
Microsoft, Yahoo Near Web Search Deal Top
SEATTLE — Microsoft Corp. appears to have finally locked up rival Yahoo Inc. in a long-awaited Internet search partnership aimed at narrowing Google Inc.'s commanding lead in the most lucrative piece of the online advertising market. The details of the Microsoft-Yahoo alliance are expected to be announced Wednesday, a person with knowledge of the talks told The Associated Press. This person spoke Tuesday night on condition on anonymity, confirming earlier reports, because the deal was not yet final. Both Redmond, Wash.-based Microsoft and Sunnyvale, Calif.-based Yahoo declined to comment late Tuesday. The deal may not be as far-reaching as many investors envisioned. It does not appear to call for Microsoft to pay Yahoo in advance, which could disappoint Wall Street. Yahoo Chief Executive Carol Bartz had said she would join forces with Microsoft only for "boatloads of money." Instead, the companies would share revenue generated by search ads on their Web sites. Yahoo would use Microsoft's search engine, Bing, and it is likely – though not certain – that a "powered by Bing" message will appear on Yahoo's highly trafficked pages, according to the person who described the talks to the AP. The companies would also use Microsoft's advertising technology to deliver appropriate ads alongside search results, while Yahoo will handle the ad sales and customer service. The person with knowledge of the talks said it is not clear whether the final deal will also cover sales of billboard-style "display" ads, or what will happen to Microsoft's own ad sales team. Microsoft, the world's largest software maker, has been courting Yahoo for several years in hopes of expanding its share of the lucrative online search market. After being repeatedly rebuffed, Microsoft launched an unsolicited bid to buy Yahoo in its entirety. With co-founder Jerry Yang at the helm, Yahoo put up such staunch resistance that Microsoft withdrew its last offer of $47.5 billion, or $33 per share, nearly 15 months ago. Yahoo shares have been sagging ever since, although they have been rising in recent weeks in anticipation of a Microsoft search deal. The stock gained 22 cents to close Tuesday at $17.22, then climbed another 17 cents in extended trading. Microsoft is counting on Yahoo's search engine, which ranks No. 2 with a worldwide market share of 8 percent, to pose a more formidable challenge to Google, which holds 67 percent of the global audience, according to the most recent data from research firm comScore Inc. In the United States, Google's share is 65 percent, compared with roughly 20 percent for Yahoo. Despite spending billions to upgrade its search engine, Microsoft still held just a 3 percent share worldwide and 8 percent in the U.S. in the most recent comScore tally. The deal is likely to draw antitrust scrutiny. Last year, the U.S. Justice Department analyzed Yahoo's plans for a search advertising partnership with Google before deciding that it would give Google too much control over the market – a conclusion loudly supported by Microsoft. The opposition forced Google and Yahoo to scuttle their deal. ___ Michael Liedtke reported from San Francisco. More on Microsoft
 
Mark Buehrle Sets Perfect Innings Record Top
MINNEAPOLIS — Chicago White Sox ace Mark Buehrle set a major league record by retiring 45 straight batters. Coming off a perfect game in his last start against Tampa Bay, Buehrle retired the first 17 Minnesota Twins batters on Tuesday night to surpass the record of 41 straight set by and San Francisco's Jim Barr in 1972 and tied by teammate Bobby Jenks, a reliever, in 2007. Buehrle retired 27 in a row against the Rays in his last start, the 18th perfect game in baseball history, then breezed through the first five innings against the Twins to break the record. His bid for a second consecutive perfect game – no pitcher in baseball history has ever achieved the feat – ended with a walk to Alexi Casilla on a close call with two outs in the sixth. The Metrodome crowd stood and cheered after the walk, trying to rattle Buehrle. Then Denard Span followed with a single to break up the no-hitter. The Twins flashed the record on the main scoreboard. On the record-breaking play, Buehrle got former teammate Joe Crede to hit a soft grounder to Alexei Ramirez at shortstop. He smiled after Paul Konerko made a nifty scoop of a low throw at first base for the second out of the inning. The ball was thrown into the White Sox dugout as a keepsake. Buehrle then got Brendan Harris to groundout to shortstop to end the fifth inning and keep his perfect game going. The performance comes against a Twins team that he has had difficulty with in the past. His 23 career victories against the Twins are his most against any opponent. But four hitters in the lineup on Tuesday night had career averages of .316 or better against the lefty. More on Sports
 
Sito Negron: Not that there's anything wrong with that Top
Ramon Renteria, a wonderful writer and a mentor to many a young reporter, usually captures the essence of El Paso in his columns. Maybe he did this time, although I'd like to think not. I won't link to his column, because the links are disabled after a week or two and you might be reading this some time in the future. He did what many others have done, in El Paso and around the nation in response to the Utah incident and to the Chico's Kiss . He pulled out a version of "some of my best friends are ..." or the Seinfeldian "not that there's anything wrong with that." Not wanting to admit to disliking gays, let alone being outright homophobic, he and many others have made the assumption that the Chico's Kiss was a full-on mackfest. Yeah, I don't have a problem with gay men, but ... But he blows that dodge by telling the truth early in the column: -- Media reports suggested this was a simple kiss Then, oddly, with no proof to the contrary, he goes on to talk about how inappropriate it is to make out in public. For example, with sentences like this: -- Kissing at restaurants is inappropriate, a basic lack of respect for others. Diners don't want to see you barefooted, bare chested or swapping DNA. He ends the column with this: -- Necking in public never blends well with that double order with extra cheese and extra salsa on the side. Cute, but logically flawed. Unless you don't care about logic, and you're looking for something on which to pin some disapproval on the Chico's guys. Not knowing exactly what happened, but going by the media reports cited by Renteria, and by anecdotes garnered over the years about the midnight-plus activity in El Paso's all-night hangouts -- I used to prefer the Good Luck Cafe -- I think that people expect outrageous activity from outrageous people. Like the flamboyant queens, for example. Maybe part of the shock was seeing people who otherwise would appear "normal," a group of stylish men, show behavior previously relegated to the realm of the outrageous. Maybe it was the shock of realizing that "normal" includes men who kiss or otherwise show varying degrees of affection. Maybe it's taking some old-schoolers like Renteria by surprise. The times, they were a-changing. The times, they have changed. Most of us are cool with that. But we're not without compassion. We understand that change can be a bit tough to swallow, and that some of you will need time to adjust. Not that there's anything wrong with that.
 
Anthony Anderson: Swine Flu...Sound Familiar? Top
Do what you want, but I will never ever get a needle put in me ever again if I can help it. Nor will I ever let my children get shot up with aluminum and other heavy metals. We all need to wake up, especially since they are doing it to us again. I've heard that a flu scare is coming this fall again, and vaccinations are going to be pushed upon as many people as possible. Best be prepared... Swine Flu 1976 & Propaganda by Dianequiose-4 They lied to us then, what makes you think they are being honest now? More on Swine Flu
 
Interview With A Pirate: When To Negotiate, Kill Hostages (VIDEO) Top
For his story on the economics of Somali piracy, WIRED contributing editor Scott Carney spoke to one of the ocean-going hijackers. They talked about how to negotiate a ransom, when to kill a hostage, and how to avoid the Navy. Here's the uncut version of that interview:
 
Tanning Beds As Deadly As Arsenic And Mustard Gas: Study Top
LONDON — International cancer experts have moved tanning beds and other sources of ultraviolet radiation into the top cancer risk category, deeming them as deadly as arsenic and mustard gas. For years, scientists have described tanning beds and ultraviolet radiation as "probable carcinogens." A new analysis of about 20 studies concludes the risk of skin cancer jumps by 75 percent when people start using tanning beds before age 30. Experts also found that all types of ultraviolet radiation caused worrying mutations in mice, proof the radiation is carcinogenic. Previously, only one type of ultraviolet radiation was thought to be lethal. The new classification means tanning beds and other sources of ultraviolet radiation are definite causes of cancer, alongside tobacco, the hepatitis B virus and chimney sweeping, among others. The research was published online in the medical journal Lancet Oncology on Wednesday, by experts at the International Agency for Research on Cancer in Lyon, the cancer arm of the World Health Organization. "People need to be reminded of the risks of sunbeds," said Vincent Cogliano, one of the cancer researchers. "We hope the prevailing culture will change so teens don't think they need to use sunbeds to get a tan." Most lights used in tanning beds give off mainly ultraviolet radiation, which cause skin and eye cancer, according to the International Agency for Cancer Research. The classification of tanning beds as carcinogenic was disputed by Kathy Banks, chief executive of The Sunbed Association, a European trade association of tanning bed makers and operators. "The fact that is continuously ignored is that there is no proven link between the responsible use of sunbeds and skin cancer," Banks said in a statement. She said most users of tanning beds use them less than 20 times a year. But as use of tanning beds has increased among people under 30, doctors have seen a parallel rise in the numbers of young people with skin cancer. In Britain, melanoma, the deadliest kind of skin cancer, is now the leading cancer diagnosed in women in their 20s. Normally, skin cancer rates are highest in people over 75. Previous studies found younger people who regularly use tanning beds are eight times more likely to get melanoma than people who have never used them. In the past, WHO warned people younger than 18 to stay away from tanning beds. Cogliano cautioned that ultravoilet radiation is not healthy, whether it comes from a tanning bed or from the sun. The American Cancer Society advises people to try bronzing or self-tanning creams instead of tanning beds. ___ On the Net: http://www.lancet.com
 
Democratic Rep. Frank Kratovil Hung In Effigy By Anti-Health-Reform Protester Top
If this is the face of anti-health care reform protest, the GOP has a serious problem. This unidentified man decided he was doing the Tea Party-anti-reform effort a real solid by hanging freshman Maryland Democratic Rep. Frank Kratovil in effigy [note the creepily expert knotted noose] with a placard "Congress Traitors The American [and a word that looks like "idol"].
 
RJ Eskow: Elmendorf vs. Orszag: A "Teachable Moment"... for Geeks and Nerds Top
This week a bitter confrontation between individuals from two distinct social groups offered our nation a rare and precious "teachable moment," an opportunity to grow beyond those things which divide -- or unite -- us as a people. Those individuals, of course, are OMB Director Peter Orszag -- a geek -- and the CBO Director, uber nerd Douglas Elmendorf. Their struggle is our struggle. Through it we can learn not only about ourselves, but about how to understand and talk about ... numbers . That's right. I said we can talk about numbers. Wait! Don't go. This doesn't have to be boring! Numbers can be exciting ! First, the conflict. As NBC's First Read reported: "Peter Orszag accused Congressional Budget Office Director Doug Elmendorf of 'overstepping' in a Web post Saturday ... Orszag, a former CBO director, accused Elmendorf of playing into a stereotype that the CBO often overestimates cost and underestimates savings." This is war ... between two analytical types whose names sound like characters in a Tolkien novel. And they didn't just throw down. They did it on blogs . The conflict began when Elmendorf blogged that the new Medicare advisory panel charged with reforming payments was likely to generate a paltry $2 billion in savings over the next ten years. Orszag replied by saying, in effect, that short-term savings was never the point, adding for good measure that the CBO had "overstepped." While it ain't exactly rival rap entourages exchanging gunfire outside a radio station, it's pretty badass stuff for number-cruncher types. Orszag's post also suggests that the CBO would be wise to restrict itself to "qualitative" and not quantitative projections over longer periods of time - a polite way of say "you can't touch - or quantify - this." (His "qualitative" comment even includes a hyperlink ... back to the very post it's embedded in. Is that kind of head trip? Some ultra-hip, self-referential "meta" critique of the blogging medium itself?) "Playing into a stereotype"? Those are fighting words in any context. The stereotyping in this case is between Orszag as geek and Elmendorf as nerd. While people consider the two terms interchangeable, here's the difference: A 'nerd' is conservative, number-fixated, and highly rational. A 'geek,' while equally bookish and intellectual, is more given to flights of intellectual fancy and wild imagination. A nerd can count. But a geek can dream. Each of us can be a nerd or a geek at different times of our lives, of course, or even at different times of the day. But in this fracas, that's how the social divide breaks down. Why? Perhaps it's because Elmendorf's job is to calculate the bottom-line effect of any program on the government and its coffers, while Orszag (who once held Elmendorf's job) is allowed to project the long-term and systematic change that new ideas (like advisory panels) might have. There may be bigger savings in Orszag's vision (I think there are), but dreaming those sweet dreams isn't in Elmendorf's job description. For those of us who love our policy by the numbers, it's heady stuff. It's hard dollars vs. soft. It's expenditures vs. imagination. Elmendorf is the stone-faced banker who won't lend the money, while Orszag's the inventor holding a prototype of the hula hoop. Elmendorf's the dour landlord who says "Sorry, kids - the theater's closed," while Orszag is Mickey Rooney and Judy Garland saying "Hey, kids! Let's put on the show right here !" Orszag is the right brain and Elmendorf is the left. Orszag is the ... oh, you get the point. Does any of this matter? Actually, it does. We need to apply both types of rigor, but policy analysis is no different from judicial analysis. Numerical impartiality can be a mask for ideological leanings and other assumptions. Both Elmendorf and Orszag have important roles to play, but I think Orszag is right to look at a larger and more quantitative picture. Real "healthcare reform" will come in ways we can't quantify yet. I was also surprised by the ideology that seemed implicit in Elmendorf's recent testimony about health reform. It was striking that he noted simply the cost to the Federal government, and not the potential for overall savings. Even more noticeably, according to the Wall Street Journal , he commented on the support many health policy analysts have expressed for taxing health benefits (an idea I'm not crazy about ). The vast majority of health analysts believe there are great savings to be had, along with improved health outcomes, from structural reforms of the very kind that the Medicare panel represents. Elmendorf's selective use of health analysts' thinking reflects either ideology, a mode of thought, or (to be fair) simply his necessary focus as the "expenditure and revenue guy" on Capitol Hill. It's not up to me to adjudicate between these two analysts, whatever my biases. I do think Orszag has the cooler job, and perhaps as a result has a broader outlook. But that may only prove that I'm a geek. As for resolving this throwdown, maybe the President can invite the two of them over for a beer. Or an Ovaltine. They can watch sci-fi movies, chill out, and resolve their differences. In the end, however, health care isn't about the numbers at all. It's about human lives. Numbers are only tools to help us achieve the right ends. If those of us who love numbers remember that, this will have been a true "teachable moment." RJ Eskow blogs when he can at: A Night Light The Sentinel Effect: Healthcare Blog
 
Billy Kimball: My "Teachable Moments" with the Cambridge Police Top
The recent uproar about the arrest of the distinguished Harvard professor Henry Louis Gates called to mind my own experiences with the Cambridge police during my years in college, several decades ago. As with the incident involving Prof. Gates, each of these encounters provided what President Obama called a "teachable moment," a unique opportunity for constructive debate and, ultimately, enlightenment. I know I learned something every time; my hope is that our nation can, as well. ENCOUNTER #1 Location: Harvard Yard Description: Provided refuge to three athletes from upstairs who had been throwing water balloons at passers-by after a Cambridge Police car had idled slowly past, causing them to flee their own rooms and seek sanctuary in mine. Lessons Learned: Hopes of befriending popular athletes by doing them a service quickly dashed; friendship of popular athletes probably not worth expulsion; even sensitive pacifist intellectuals can be provoked to violence by water balloons. ENCOUNTER #2 Location: Claverly Hall Description: Resident tutor threatens to "call the Cambridge Police" after I put speakers in the hallway in order to play new Rolling Stones album to fellow students. Lesson Learned: Resident tutor is a complete dick. ENCOUNTER #3 Location: Mt. Auburn Street Description: Cambridge policeman gives me a $35 ticket for parking in a "No Standing" zone while I am trying to help attractive senior girl move some furniture from storage in the Lowell House basement. Forced to admit to cop that I can't move her Volkswagen Rabbit convertible because I can't drive a stick shift. Lessons learned: Attractive people have strong sense of entitlement; women can spend a very long time in the bathroom; always calibrate language carefully when volunteering for anything. ENCOUNTER #4 Location: Outside Boston-Boston disco Description: Attempt to deescalate conflict between inebriated roommate and a local man is misunderstood. Both roommate and local man overreact and become extremely disrespectful towards me. Policeman* on motorcycle tells us all to "shut the fuck up and go the fuck home." Lessons learned: Just wearing a tuxedo is an affront to some people; my friends are not always worthy of me; a shared enemy can forge a bond between antagonists; even if they fail to behave professionally, sometimes it is a relief to see a policeman ENCOUNTER #5 Location: Unclear Description: After celebrating football victory over Colgate in popular student hang-out, I experience a period of temporary amnesia during which time I acquire some bruises on my legs and a deep scratch on my face. Among the possibilities to be considered are that these injuries were inflicted by the Cambridge Police. Lessons Learned: You can't blame the Cambridge Police for everything; getting two beers for the price of one is not necessarily a bargain; when bad things happen, it can be constructive to think about how much worse they might have been; sometimes just sitting down and having a beer with some buddies creates more problems than it solves. *Technically, this was probably a Boston policeman More on Barack Obama
 
Stormy Daniels' Political Advisor May Have Been Hit By Car Bomb: Reports Top
Porn star Stormy Daniels' potential senatorial campaign was rocked yesterday by an explosion that blew up her political advisor's car in New Orleans, according to local news reports. The advisor, Brian Welch, was not injured in the explosion. In surveillance footage aired on TV affiliate ABC-26 , a man is seen opening the drivers'-side door, throwing an object in the car and the vehicle exploding. "It looks like the pictures you see in Iraq following a roadside car bombing," reporter Glynn Boyd said of the damage to Welch's car. "It looks like someone, somehow, was trying to send a message." Welch, told ABC-26 that he is awaiting more forensic information, but believes that someone intended to harm him. "When you rule out everything else, you're sort of left with the obvious." "No one has seen anything like this before...not in such a dramatic fashion," says Welch. "It's too early for me to go pointing fingers. I'd like to hear officially what happened and then we can take it from there. If someone's trying to send me a message like this, it's not going to work." Welch also described his experience to WGSO 990 on Tuesday morning, claiming that he would not be deterred. Local political blogger Stephen Sabludowsky noted: Some of the cynical are pointing fingers at possible future or past opponents or their associates. However, it is possible that the incident could have been totally coincidental or have nothing to do with politics, whatsoever. A spokesman for the New Orleans police department did not return calls from Huffington Post. Recently, Daniels formed a Senate exploratory committee, the first official step toward her run for U.S. Senate against David Vitter, who was linked to the "D.C. Madam."
 

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